Is $2.50 A Gallon Gas In Your Future? Oil Prices Start To Free Fall

Is $2.50 A Gallon Gas In Your Future? Oil Prices Start To Free Fall
Oil prices fell below $90 a barrel on Monday for the first time since February because of the economic slowdown, even though production in the Gulf of Mexico had not fully recovered from hurricane destruction three weeks ago.

The price decline of recent weeks, from a record high for crude oil of $147.27 a barrel during the trading day on July 11, has been breathtaking for energy analysts and traders, some of whom had predicted during the summer that the price would cross the $200 threshold by 2010 or sooner.

Now, amid weakening global demand, prognosticators are talking about prices going down to $70 or even lower.

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Agent009Agent009 - 10/7/2008 10:52:52 AM
+5 Boost
Gas is getting cheaper for several reasons:
1. Speculation of world demand led to premature increases (no real factors just speculation).
2. Demand is down becuase people are driving less
3. The global demand has dropped rather than increased.
4. Many of the Gulf refineries are still off line and as soon as they come on line there will be a flood of oil with nowhere to go.

All of there factors will come into play IMHO.


SpectatorSpectator - 10/7/2008 1:05:07 PM
0 Boost
Ahhh....

009 you missed one critical issue. Here in the US, we just started switching to Winter Standards for fuel. So of course fuel would go down this time of year.

However I would be cautious to listen to anything the oil speculators talk about. Remember these are the people who less than 3 years ago said oil wouldn't go above $40 a barrel.

Of course I do agree with point 1. Points 2,3 and 4 could be right...however in my mind are a bit speculative.

World oil use has not decreased, People driving less (short term) will have very little impact on oil price. Petrochemicals, Jet A fuel and Heating fuel are where the largest impacts will occur.

With colder weather already beginning to hit the north and the mountainous regions, the need for heating fuel will likly rise dramatically in the next few weeks even if the demand for auto fuel dosent. This will begin to tax the refineries we currently have in place and some of the ones we bring back online.

These are some of the factors that need to be looked at as well when determining what fuel prices will be.


daytonavioletdaytonaviolet - 10/7/2008 1:45:20 PM
+4 Boost
I do mostly agree with 009. My only hesitation is that I think OPEC has gotten too greedy and will cut production if demand drops.


Agent009Agent009 - 10/7/2008 3:24:13 PM
+1 Boost
One thing is for sure..they all need cash flow. So if it isn't selling they will drop the price until they do.


sectorsector - 10/7/2008 10:31:15 AM
+6 Boost
This is a trick by the oil cartels, they see the rapid development of alternative fuel vehicles and hybrids and want to deceive us into slowing down the progress, once we are complacent again, they'll jack it up even more, and so on, a vicious cycle.


350zdon17350zdon17 - 10/7/2008 10:42:07 AM
+4 Boost
once gas gets to say $2.50 they are going to raise it again and say that more people are driving again we can't afford to keep it that low...same B.S. cycle is going to happen again


Agent009Agent009 - 10/7/2008 10:53:46 AM
+2 Boost
You are correct, this is an adjustment, but the underlying issues still are there.


SHOWTIMESHOWTIME - 10/7/2008 10:55:12 AM
+5 Boost
Agent009, can you blow up that pic of the girl wearing those Audi booty shorts? Looks like a fine backyard.


SHOWTIMESHOWTIME - 10/7/2008 3:40:06 PM
+5 Boost
009, come on I'm serious!! Show us a larger view of that pic! LOL


topneurotopneuro - 10/10/2008 1:18:47 AM
+2 Boost
That was a 2008 Audi.
Check out this 2009 Audi.

http://www.pbase.com/ccnp/image/91554069



SHOWTIMESHOWTIME - 10/14/2008 6:58:16 PM
+1 Boost
topneuro, U DA MAN! THANKS!


topneurotopneuro - 10/7/2008 11:04:55 AM
+3 Boost
Catastrophe causes change.
Expensive gasoline is the best thing that has happened to the planet.
My next vehicle will be a ZEV, regardless of gasoline prices.



olscuulolscuul - 10/7/2008 9:10:45 PM
+2 Boost
what does 'zev' have to do with it?


snatchandgrabsnatchandgrab - 10/7/2008 12:59:21 PM
+6 Boost
Election year..prices always drop a month before the us presidential election.


0to600to60 - 10/7/2008 1:32:42 PM
+1 Boost
bush isnt up for reelection.


toolatetoracetoolatetorace - 10/7/2008 9:55:52 PM
+1 Boost
No , but the GOP is . Remember 4 years ago we were warmed into complacency into thinking that the GOP was the best deal for everyone


thetruth01thetruth01 - 10/7/2008 1:31:44 PM
+3 Boost
Didnt OPEC just say that they dont want prices below $100, and will be slowing production to keep prices there?


daytonavioletdaytonaviolet - 10/7/2008 1:47:36 PM
+1 Boost
Regardless, we need to start drilling here and/or develop alternative solutions.


t_bonet_bone - 10/7/2008 2:04:18 PM
+1 Boost
Hopefully the general public will understand what is going on. In the face of huge truck and SUV rebates, buying a gas guzzler is rolling the dice.


rockerrocker - 10/7/2008 2:50:13 PM
+3 Boost
Gas should be $2.50 now. It is currently trading at $2.02 per gallon. Add taxes and it should be hovering around $2.50 to $2.60 right now. We are currently paying $2.78 a gallon in South Texas.


350zdon17350zdon17 - 10/7/2008 3:37:24 PM
+2 Boost
I just drove by local shell $3.05 regular(Middle NJ)...If gas companies kept their profit to very very small amount for a year or two bringing the price at the pump down to say $1.99 regular, I think that alone can help the economy get back up...yea more people will be driving, buying and selling and yes adding to the green house gases, but at the end of the day we need to survive right now and if things don't get better who knows what is going to happen...


2007Tahoe2007Tahoe - 10/9/2008 9:31:10 PM
+1 Boost
@ rocker

$3.35 here in Colorado.


KirillerKiriller - 10/7/2008 4:04:14 PM
+2 Boost
i agree with all 5 points, BUT In my opinion there is more to in, lookin from a marketing presective.

Oil companies have just found a really nice equilibrium point where at a dollar (canadian) or 2.50 ameican they make the most profit, as they go higher they make less money, if they go lower they make same/or less money. At a dollar more people will be buying and will me more dependant on fuel as opposed to when its high then less people will be dependant. Same thing goes when lower them a buck, even more people will buy therefore more gas will be wasted at same profit. Get my drift?


toolatetoracetoolatetorace - 10/7/2008 10:11:57 PM
+1 Boost
Remember when crude prices were following the stock market . The maket would go down . Oil would go up. Market would go up , oil would go down . I think all that was for a bunch of market traders would buy when it would go down and sell when it went up . Repeat the process seversl times and I'll bet there was people that doubled their money


BiasFreeSince83BiasFreeSince83 - 10/8/2008 7:52:01 PM
+1 Boost
According to OPEC, they'll cut supply if it hits $80. Which makes complete and total sense. What a bunch of crooks. Keep in mind, also, that taxes are a huge part of gas prices. Prices vary by as much as a dollar or more depending on the city/state that you reside in. Now THAT is crazy. Why doesn't anyone look at gas taxes in addition to Big Oil and OPEC?


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