Cheaper gas may fuel truck and SUV sales

But some warn effect will be mild
October 3, 2006
Email this Print this BY SARAH A. WEBSTER
FREE PRESS BUSINESS WRITER
Country music star Toby Keith appears in a Ford truck ad. U.S. automakers are hoping that lower gas prices will spur sales of trucks and SUVs. (Ford)
The chief economist for the National Automobile Dealers Association, Paul Taylor, said gas prices have dropped below $2.30 a gallon in many areas of the country. A month ago, they were $2.85 a gallon, according to the U.S. Energy Department.
Gas averaged $2.18 a gallon in Michigan last week, according to AAA Michigan.
The decline "should help new car and truck sales," Taylor wrote to dealers and journalists. "Full-size pickup trucks and SUVs should see an uptick."
An increase in truck sales -- even a modest one -- could be a good sign for General Motors Corp., Ford Motor Co. and the Auburn Hills-based Chrysler Group, a division of DaimlerChrysler AG.
Trucks are more profitable than more fuel-efficient cars and still make up a disproportionate share of sales for U.S. automakers. Sales of light trucks, which include SUVs, pickups and minivans, make up 60% of sales for GM, 61% for Ford and 76% for Chrysler.
Auto manufacturers are to report their September sales results today, and experts predict that cars and trucks sold at a 16.6 million annual selling rate last month. That would be slightly better than the 16.52 million selling rate in September 2005, but not a great improvement, considering that sales last September were still considered damp after the employee-pricing sales craze.
And not all experts agree that truck sales will improve.
"Consumers continue to downsize out of SUVs," Peter Nesvold, an automotive analyst with Bear, Stearns & Co., wrote in a note to investors.
Jerry Seiner, a dealer known as the "GM Guy" in Salt Lake City, said truck sales are stabilizing but cars are still hot.
"There's a real trend toward cars," he said. "The Cobalt and Aveo are selling well."
But Joseph Amaturo, an auto analyst for Calyon Securities, told investors that the drop in gas prices "could have a marginally positive impact."
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