China's EV Revolution At Risk Of Implosion

China's EV Revolution At Risk Of Implosion
An iPhone assembler, e-commerce emporium and real-estate developer typically don't compete in the same business — except when it comes to electric vehicles in China.

That's because of a seismic shift toward EVs, which has spurred billions of dollars in investments by traditional carmakers, startups and titans of the Internet, electronics and real-estate industries. The rush is on even as the government pulls back on the subsidies that juiced the industry to begin with.

There are now 486 EV manufacturers registered in China, more than triple the number from two years ago. While sales of passenger EVs are projected to reach a record 1.6 million units this year, that's likely not enough to keep all those assembly lines humming, prompting warnings that the ballooning EV market could burst and leave behind only a few survivors.


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PUGPROUDPUGPROUD - 4/15/2019 11:59:41 AM
+8 Boost
When any government thinks it can control markets beyond regulating honest dealings, fairness and safety it does not end well and that includes my own government and yours wherever you may live.


MDarringerMDarringer - 4/15/2019 12:24:00 PM
+6 Boost
But that is PRECISELY what the Democrats always try to do i.e. control the market and that causes business flight.


TruthyTruthy - 4/15/2019 2:30:05 PM
-8 Boost
Odd then that the best performing economies of the last five US presidents were under democrats.


TomMTomM - 4/16/2019 6:25:21 AM
+1 Boost
China already does control all of their markets MATT. They probably have ownership in virtually ALL of the companies involved from the Assembler to the Battery maker. They not only control the companies - they control what the workers earn - how long they must work (Most cannot afford the products they are making)and their benefits as well.

THere really is NO WAY to compare the situation that exists in China with the western capitalists. As far as how this will turn out - it has turned out that pure capitalism without Anti-Trust control also manages to fail - and neither pure communism nor pure capitalism has never really happened in the world - and is not likely as long as there is such a chasm between the top 1% and the rest of the people


xjug1987axjug1987a - 4/17/2019 8:07:31 AM
+1 Boost
China will dictate as everything is controlled by the Communist Govt. So in CHina things will be exactly as they dictate. When other factors are listed such as Communism, Socialism, Capitalism and the effect each has on the individual, Capitalism CLEARLY raises standards of living for the people. Whereas the other 2 CLEARLY bring misery to all vs propserity to all as they promise. There is no perfect world as long as humans beings with selfish interests run governments. But if as America has more than proven, our form of Govt and our economic model has brought vastly greater prosperity than any other forms. So what if the rest of the world replicated what we have here...


dlindlin - 4/15/2019 1:01:21 PM
+3 Boost
Nothing wrong with competition, but government does need to 'guide' in a way so R&D and capital expenditure are not overly consumed and eventually wasted


SanJoseDriverSanJoseDriver - 4/16/2019 12:55:42 AM
+1 Boost
Agree, remove all the subsidies and tax credits across the board for all for profit companies and charge a fair flat tax on revenue.


CANADIANCOMMENTSCANADIANCOMMENTS - 4/15/2019 1:56:40 PM
0 Boost
Typical for Autospies. People posting without reading. China had the same buyer subsidy of $7500 which is now in half. All the money coming into the EV industry as investment is private funds. Too much as the article says relative to the current size of the BEV car market. Clearly the investors have vastly overreacted to the potential of the Chinese BEV market in the near term. Offering $7,500 on car in a developing market like China should not have resulted in 468 BEV automakers popping up, but it did. Blame the government if you want but this is an investor driven issue. And the market will fix itself over time (fewer firms).


TomMTomM - 4/16/2019 6:33:31 AM
+2 Boost
I do not agree that ALL of the money going into the chinese EV industry is private funds - especially when the Government has ownership in most of the players in the game. If you have regularly been to china - then you know just how bad the air is there - but EVs will not solve that problem until China reduces the amount of Electricity produced by coal from 60% it is now.

Today - there are days when they close down factories in order to keep local air breathable - It reminds a lot of India which has similar problems.

As far as giving out money to buy evs - the fact is - Evs are still an elite purchase - the average worker saves to buy a Bicycle. #3,750 may be a lot of money - but when you average YEARLY salary is about $11,000 it might take a lifetime to pay of a real EV.


ricks0mericks0me - 4/15/2019 5:14:51 PM
-1 Boost
TO: China EV MFGS.
From: Rick
You will not go out of business. rockreid, EVisNow, & San Jose Driver are flying over in an electric airplane to save you. No Carbon footprint left behind !!!


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