Tesla's WILD Ride Continues. Where Is The Stock's Value Headed Next? Down The Drain? Will It Recover?

Until and unless the company shows sustained growth and profits the stock will bounce around on both good and bad news as it has recently. The lowest stock price will be the price at which analysts believe another company would see real value and make an offer to buy Tesla. That price is determined in off the record over drinks conversations with major auto CFO's.

They'll bounce back. They always do.

This is a rediculous statement. They are burning cash much faster than they are generating it. The carbon credits will likely go away by the end of next year - a huge source of revenue for Tesla. The tax incentives will expire this year. Elon needed the illusion of continued growth to keep funding coming in. Investors are fed up with empty promises. His "Automony Day" was recognozed as they farce that it was. It will bounce around, but around a new much lower average of $190 - 210/share.

"Tesla's Wild Ride..."

IMO - if a person currently have a Tesla deposit outstanding, now would be an excellent time to demand it back.

By the way, let me educate on the concept of the "Bankruptcy Preference Payment" - A preferential debt payment is a payment made for the benefit of certain creditors shortly before filing for bankruptcy. ... The bankruptcy trustee has the power to avoid (undo) preferential payments and recover that money or property to distribute among all of your creditors.

To illustrate, if a person is a deposit holder and Tesla files for bankruptcy while it has that person's deposit money, the person (obviously!) will likely never get your deposit back.

HOWEVER, if such a person is on the fence now BUT waits too long to ASK for the deposit back AND actually DOES get it PAID back BEFORE Tesla files for bankruptcy (if that happens) - there is a VERY STRONG CHANCE THAT THE BANKRUPTCY JUDGE WILL MAKE the person PAY IT BACK INTO THE BANKRUPTCY ESTATE OF TESLA. It would likely be deemed a "Preference Payment" if it was too close to a possible bankruptcy date.

I am not giving advice, but it seems like if a deposit holder is not taking delivery of their $35,000 Model 3 within the next few months, it might be a consideration to get their deposit back PRONTO!

#LetsRearrangeTheDeckChairsOnTheTitanic

If you put a deposit on a car and cannot be provided with a production order number and a date of production, you're a fool.

For any Tesla FanBoyGirl out there...watch this video from "The Fast Lane Car".

We Crashed Our Brand New Tesla & You Won't Believe How Much It Will Cost To Fix! Thrifty 3 Ep. 5
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tAnJPknzMYQ

Quotes from the body shop guy in Denver who has fixed about 40 Teslas's....

"Fit and Finish is sub-par"...

"Would I buy a Tesla as my personal car? Not until they get all their fit and finish stuff figured out"...

"I see the underneath of everything, safety wise is there but it could be done a lot better. I am also Audi certified and Audi's are done a lot better"..

#AnAudiIsBetterThanATesla

Tesla's stock has been rightfully hammered by investors in 2019. The company's whole reason for existence is all-electric vehicles, but it's not the only manufacturer in the luxury space doing it (Jaguar, Audi, Porsche, Mercedes-Benz etc.) are all coming to market or have come to market with their EV offerings. Tesla's autonomous driving feature is good, but it's not fool proof as we've seen with the several fatalities. Other companies are also launching their own autonomous driving solutions.

In summary, there is no competitive advantage for Tesla in either EVs or autonomous vehicles. The company has had well publicized production problems with the Model 3. The tax credits are going away. The competition is coming to market. The company is burning cash at a rapid rate to the point where it will have to raise additional capital this year. The company's stock decline reflects its many problems very well.

2018 bitcoin
2019 tesla

I got back in on Friday after after a couple weeks on the sideline. Still a few dollars above Friday closing price but ready for a tough ride ahead. I might continue to add on dips but I'm confident price will bounce back by mid Q2 as production picture gets clearer plus status of Model Y factory location and progress on GF3. Advances on the FSD software and release of FSD HW3 on all cars will also entice more takers thus increasing the extra revenue as pure profits. As for GF3, construction is going at blazing speed there's no doubt they will be able to produce the Model 3 in meaningful numbers by Q4.
The federal tax incentive is going away but the dollar amounts have become less significant and its impact will be minimal. Since both SEC and Musk have come to term with a reasonable agreement, one fewer item for the detractors to spread their FUD.

The only real hope for Tesla long-term is a larger company buying them out. It can probably be had now for a fraction of its supposed valuation.

The NAME is golden. The rest of it is total sh!t because Tesla's EV technology isn't miles ahead of anyone else. It would be a great brand for Ford to sell next to Lincoln for example. In fact, it is asinine that Tesla hasn't pursued such a marketing arrangement with a manufacturer.

Watch the teardowns, their electric motors, batteries (cells, modules, and packs), inverters, and MCU are all way ahead of competitors. For a specific example, look no further than the Model S getting 370 miles of range out of a heavier and faster car than the eTron which gets 208 miles. Battery size is almost identical (95 kWh on the eTron).