BIG Changes Are In Store For The GLOBAL Automotive Industry — WHO Do You Want To See JOIN Forces?

BIG Changes Are In Store For The GLOBAL Automotive Industry — WHO Do You Want To See JOIN Forces?
According to reports, we may have reached what's being coined "peak car." Not sure what that means? Well, let me explain.

Essentially, it's a term that illustrates we're done with growth in the automotive sector. Between regulations, changing consumer tastes/needs and the influx of ride-sharing applications, the space is decelerating.

This has some Wall Street analysts forecasting doom and gloom for the space. And if you start looking at the charts laid out in this Business Insider story, you may start to buy-in to the narrative.

Having said that, if true, the sector is in for a rather rude awakening. Consolidation will happen in order for businesses to continue moving forward. This got me thinking: WHICH automakers would YOU like to see join forces to ship all-new autos?



For the auto business, "The pain is just beginning," according to Nomura analyst Masataka Kunugimoto and his team. "We now expect global auto demand to be down 3%," year on year, in 2019, he told clients recently.

He is not alone. At bank after bank, analysts are coming round to the idea that the world may have passed "peak car," and that in the future humans will need fewer personal vehicles.

Certainly, they are telling clients, diesel vehicles will collapse into a small niche as their polluting exhausts are regulated out of existence. Petrol/gasoline vehicles will be next, as governments in Europe and the United States set dates for manufacturers to switch their models to electric...


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dlindlin - 6/3/2019 2:03:21 AM
+2 Boost
Toyota teams up with Honda to come up with an affordable 300+ hp MR... then I'll forgive you for screwing up NSX and Supra


dlindlin - 6/3/2019 2:10:06 AM
+2 Boost
H-4 engine from Subaru is not ideal, but acceptable for keeping platform tidy though


MDarringerMDarringer - 6/3/2019 8:27:07 AM
-2 Boost
The H-4 is a piece of merde. It has had lawsuits against it for valve train issues and failure that Subaru fixed, but not really because the issues persist. It's guaranteed to leak oil and it sounds agricultural.

Subaru did some brilliant marketing back in the day. They promoted the notion that their flat four improved chassis balance and people swallowed that lie. They then made all their cars in the USA AWD because they didn't have enough sales volume to do FWD and AWD. But to top it off, Subaru's AWD system is among the LEAST sophisticated out there and these days it's rather outdated.


dlindlin - 6/3/2019 10:52:53 AM
+3 Boost
Toyota sent back hundreds of B58 components back to BMW to redo, so why worry?


FoncoolFoncool - 6/3/2019 7:10:58 AM
+1 Boost
Slightly Nationalistic, smaller boutique companies with loose affiliation to a larger mass market manufacturer for access to the parts bin. Jaguar/Land Rover/Aston Martin/Lotus and Ferrari/Maserati/Alfa Romeo at least their cars would have character something truly lacking today. The only reason people think German cars have character is because the the cars from Japan, Korea and the US are boring.


MDarringerMDarringer - 6/3/2019 8:22:36 AM
-1 Boost
Ford-VW is a good mix.

GM will be merged (aka bought) by the Chinese. Geely will acquire them.

With Toyota having its hooks in Mazda and Subaru and Renault "owning" Nissan and Mitsubishi, Honda really need to find a dance partner.

Mercedes desperately needs a partner...oh wait...Geely is acquiring them chunk by chunk. Thus, Geely, Volvo, Proton, Lotus, GM, Mercedes.


PUGPROUDPUGPROUD - 6/3/2019 9:10:56 AM
+1 Boost
While I'm a strong free market advocate it would be extremely troubling for GM to fall into hands of China and Ford into VW hands as a national security matter. Though if ever necessary all foreign owned automotive plants in US would be subject to being taken over by government in an emergency. Personally I believe that current industry and social trends will cause significant and rapid consolidation worldwide at some point in next 35 years leaving only three major companies controlling 85%+ of the market.



xjug1987axjug1987a - 6/3/2019 10:45:14 AM
+2 Boost
THink you're probably right as platform costs, etc... safety and Govt regs, which vary globally significantly enhance costs. Recall the time when nearly all cars were body on frame, with various systems but they were simple and pretty simple to fix. With new vehicles costing what, an ave of $35K thats getting up there for the common man and GM continues to broadcast its ONLY success which is its ever increasing ATP. Another indicator of how misguided GM mgt is...

GM needs a great company to partner with, such as Honda but GM would destroy what Honda brings, they'll really destroy any company they merge with or buy. So I agree with Matt, GM will be acquired by the Chinese and thus America will lose a once major pillar of its industrial legacy. Interesting how Japan has Nissan, Toyota, Mazda, Mitsubishi, Honda, Daihatsu, Subaru not to mention Acura, Lexus and Infiniti who are all serious and SKorea has Hyundai & Kia, again VERY serious, yet America has only GM & Ford and they simply cannot get the train moving... what is the missing link??

Typhoid Mary will tought any "merger" as a great moment as she takes her $$ and runs. I met her when she became VPHR and as a lifer and daughter of a lifer I though she really wanted GM to be the greatest car company on earth.. I simply do not see that in her performance or her team. The entire lot needs to be not only fired but tarred and feathered... the board wont do that as that would be seen as "MORE" confusion and yet ANOTHER restructuring which will send bad signals to the market. So this sad chapter will continue... until it ends I'd say...


dlindlin - 6/4/2019 11:56:27 AM
+1 Boost
I don't think China is interested in GM. So far I heard they were only interested in FCA's Jeep

Nothing national security about something dumb and low tech(relatively). Rather, you should sell it and transfer the capital onto something with a future


xjug1987axjug1987a - 6/4/2019 12:49:45 PM
+1 Boost
Thing is, in China you must have a Chinese Partner/JV if you want to mfr there... so Chinese companies already have GM's tech so why buy the company...


TomMTomM - 6/4/2019 8:54:52 PM
+2 Boost
China has already announced the end to that requirement to have a Chinese partner

For Evs it ends in 2019
2020 for Commercial Vehicles and trucks
and in 2022 for the rest.

I would suggest that for the bigger companies - I would not want to merge right now - I would wait to see how the EV wars happen. This is a fundamental shift in production - and there will be winners and losers.


ricks0mericks0me - 6/3/2019 6:53:53 PM
+1 Boost
xjug: very good post !!!


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